World Population Decline

February 28, 2002 the UN Population Division published its updated estimates of the effect of fewer births on world population, aging and the economy. The UN estimates that in the world as a whole, the number of births began declining about 1985-1990.  Because of the continual ongoing decline in births in the entire world, the UN experts project that the population aging and shortage of young workers in Europe will soon be the norm for the entire world.   The UN projects serious economic problems caused by the tripling in the ratio of elderly compared to the number under age 60.

The number of new potential mothers is determined by the number of births about fifteen years earlier.  The world decline in births since 1985-1990 occurred in spite of the increase until now in the number of potential mothers because the world wide fertility rate declined much faster than the increase in number of potential mothers.  Beginning this year, the number of new potential mothers will also decrease due to the decrease in births since 1985 and the killing of millions of female babies by sex selection abortions.  This will apparently cause an ever more rapid decrease in world births from now on.

Robert Sassone, American Life League population analyst commented that: "While the supply of young workers is not the only factor influencing the economy, it is a very important factor.  Since about 1990, when previous declines in the number of births began causing a shortage of young workers, Europe has had serious economic problems caused by fewer births each year since 1960."   Sassone noted that: "The current European experience of declining population with more deaths than births will apparently be extended to the entire world, causing serious world economic problems about the year 2015 and world population decline about the year 2030."